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Trump, Biden economic policies hashed out

Austan Goolsbee and Kevin Hassett engaged in an hourlong conversation hosted by SIEPR that covered the most pressing economic topics facing the nation.

With Election Day less than two months away, two former White House economic advisers discussed the differences in policy approaches of the presidential candidates.

In an online event hosted Tuesday by the 九色社区 Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR), Austan Goolsbee and Kevin Hassett engaged in an hourlong conversation that covered the most pressing topics facing the nation 鈥 from how to deal with the pandemic鈥檚 economic crush to hot-button policy issues like taxes, immigration and trade.

[Watch a recording here.]

Zoom Screenshot of Hassett, Goolsbee, Goda and SIEPR Director Mark Duggan
Former CEA chairs Kevin Hassett and Austan Goolsbee discussed the economic policy ideas of the the presidential candidates. The online event was moderated by SIEPR Deputy Director Gopi Shah Goda. (Clockwise, from top left: Hassett, Goolsbee, Goda and SIEPR Director Mark Duggan.)

The event, moderated by Gopi Shah Goda, SIEPR鈥檚 deputy director, featured two economists with largely divergent views as they explained 鈥 and sometimes sharply criticized 鈥 the economic strategies of President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. 

Despite divisive rhetoric surrounding the election, both Goolsbee 鈥 the former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers during the Obama administration 鈥 and Hassett 鈥 who held the same job in the Trump White House 鈥 avoided an overheated debate and put a premium on policy differences rather than partisan talking points. But the event wasn鈥檛 without its political barbs.

Here鈥檚 a glimpse of their exchange: 

On COVID-19 economic relief: Both agreed on the merits of supporting Americans and businesses through the pandemic-related shock, but they said the politics has been problematic.

Hassett said the first stimulus package 鈥 thanks to bipartisan agreement 鈥 was meant to build a bridge through summer, but now that COVID cases are even higher, 鈥渨e need a pontoon bridge to get to the other side of the fog, and that鈥檚 a really big task.鈥 

鈥淭he Democrats should be commended for working together in the spring and scolded a little bit for not working together now,鈥 he said.

Goolsbee said the administration鈥檚 pandemic-related responses could arguably be 鈥渋n the top three worst things the government has ever done.鈥 

鈥淚f the pandemic is not going away, then we鈥檙e going to have to keep propping up the economy,鈥 he said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not stimulus. This is mostly trying to keep warm by burning money while the furnace is out.鈥

On taxes: While Goolsbee talked about how Trump鈥檚 tax cut did not and will not boost economic growth as promised, Hassett pointed to the most recent Census data and how there were overall gains in household income.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no evidence that there was any incremental impact of those tax cuts on wage growth,鈥 Goolsbee said. Those wage increases were already happening, he said.

As for Biden鈥檚 proposal to raise the corporate tax rate up to 28 percent and use the gains to help the middle class, Hassett called the return to a higher tax rate 鈥渉armful鈥 and predicted that if Biden wins, 鈥渉e鈥檒l run on tax-the-rich claims to get the left-wing base really excited, but then he鈥檚 not going to do it.鈥

On trade: As Hassett defended Trump鈥檚 initiatives to get concessions and correct for the 鈥渁symmetric鈥 trade deals the U.S. had made in the past, Goolsbee discussed the negative impacts of the recent tariffs to agricultural and manufacturing industries.

Goolsbee contended the repeated 鈥渕uscular declaration of trade wars and threatening of trade wars鈥 to U.S. allies and adversaries is not working.

鈥淚f you want to get China to change its behavior 鈥 you get your allies on the same page,鈥 Goolsbee said. 鈥淎nd if Trump is reelected, absolutely you can expect that we鈥檒l go back to this pattern of: threaten war, threaten war again.鈥

Hassett disagreed. 

鈥淏eing sweet and nice with our allies is a great feel-good thing for a person to do,鈥 he said. 鈥淏ut decades of that led us to inheriting a system that is profoundly asymmetric.鈥 Trump has improved the U.S. position on trade, he said.

On immigration: Goolsbee said evidence has shown how immigration has benefitted the economy, and criticized the current administration鈥檚 stance on immigration.

鈥淭his is not the American way,鈥 he said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 culturally horrible and economically worse.鈥 

Hassett pointed to a set of reform proposals that percolated in the Trump administration but didn鈥檛 gain traction in Congress. 

鈥淚n this heated political climate, that bill didn鈥檛 make any progress,鈥 he said.

What they wanted the audience to walk away with: 

Hassett pointed to Trump鈥檚 pre-pandemic record and economic decisions as a set of policies that will serve the country well in a recovery.

鈥淭he policies of deregulation and prudent tax reform were working,鈥 he said. 

Goolsbee said Trump鈥檚 economic policy took a 鈥渢rickle down鈥 approach that historically has not spread wealth as expected. He said there are two world views at play: Trump鈥檚 plan sets out to benefit wealthy Americans, while Biden鈥檚 plan sets out to bolster the middle class.

鈥淥n the economics side,鈥 Goolsbee said, 鈥淚 think the choice is clear.鈥

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